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Old 29-01-2014, 11:00 PM
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Thumbs up Jee Say: Minister Gan's numbers don't make sense, don't add up

An honorable member of the Coffee Shop Has Just Posted the Following:

Ghost of the White Paper?

Minister Gan must tell us what is the population size that he has used for the year 2020 when deciding to build 10,000 more beds by 2020. Is this population figure in line with the Population White Paper approved by Parliament in early 2013? What would be the expected number of beds per 10,000 population when the additional 10,000 beds are put in place by end 2020?

Let us work out the numbers in case the minister is not promptly forthcoming. With 10,000 more beds adding to the stock of 11,853 beds in 2012 (latest year for available statistics), there will be a total of 21,853 beds in 2020. What will be the population then? The White Paper targets a population of 6.9 million by 2030, an increase of 1.5 million over 17 years (2013-30) or an average annual growth of 88,235 persons. Using this annual rate, the population will increase from 5.4 million in 2013 to 6.02 million in 2020. The number of beds per 10,000 population will then be 36 which is not even two thirds of First World norm.

Press for full disclosure of facts in the White Paper


Does this mean that Singaporeans will continue to see their loved ones lying on beds in hospital corridors and make-shift tents in the years ahead? We can avoid this Third World situation either by increasing the number of beds sharply to around 35,000 beds by 2020 or reducing the total population appropriately, or doing both at a slower pace or in ways that do not degrade the quality of public service. That is why it is vitally important for Singaporeans to oppose the Population White Paper unless adequate public facilities in essential services are put in place. And all the working numbers to achieve these facilities must clearly be shown to the people. That's what we expect of a responsible and transparent government.

- https://www.facebook.com/TanJeeSay/p...76641015762593


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